Juvenile

1 Z Humor 12-1

Ran very big chasing War Pass around the track.  Word is he hasn't looked very good since in works, going to pass this one.

2 War Pass 5-2

Huge jump to a giant figure in last on a somewhat speed favoring track.

3 Kodiak Kowboy 8-1

Hasn't done much wrong in his career.  Was very impressive while rallying into a speed favoring track at Saratoga before regressing at Belmont while trying to overcome a pedestrian pace.  I'm looking for a rebound here, but will it be enough?

4 Slew's Tiznow 15-1 (Scr)

Scratched.

5 Sure Do 30-1

Sure won't.  No speed at all, which is ok in SoCal and other fake dirt venues, but not on dirt.

6 Overextended 50-1

He will be overextended.

7 Pyro 6-1

Improved sharply when trying a route of ground and now gets a second turn and another half furlong.

8 Globilization 20-1

A big step up from a big figure maiden score.  Tough to imagine him battling War Pass into submission, and if he did, still hanging on to win.

9 Old Man Buck 20-1

Improving sort on turf/poly, but still a long way to go while moving back to dirt he floundered on in his debut.

Horse should relish the distance.  If anyone can run down War Pass, it should be him.  Tough trip last time overcoming the pace and gate trouble.

11 Dixie Chatter 10-1 (Scr)

Scratched

12 Salute the Sarge 12-1

What happened to speed in California?  They used to have fast horses there, no?

13 Wicked Style 10-1 

Horse has done nothing wrong, winning all three polytrack starts on or near the lead.  That alone is a big plus, and his figures are good and getting better.

RECAP: I'll be very surprised if one of the five ML favorites don't win this.  I don't see any of them offering anything special value wise, so I'll just use them in multi race bets. 

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