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Sprint 1 Thor's Echo 10-1 I was enamored with this horse after watching the Ancient Title. I liked how he was to stay with Bordonado late despite the slow pace. Upon further review of his full PPs though, I think I was wrong. This horse rarely wins, and likes to be up front. He has little choice with the rail draw here, so I'm leaving him out. 2 Friendly Island 30-1 Will try to be a part of the pace, and though he occasionally pops a decent one, I can't envision any scenario that puts him in the winner's enclosure. 3 Lewis Michael 30-1 A horse looking for a race. This horse isn't really a sprinter, isn't a 10f horse, not a turf miler, etc. The truth is, he is probably no better than a G3 type horse even at his best distance and surface. No thanks. 4 Henny Hughes 2-1 About the only thing not to like about this horse is the price. He has done little wrong sprinting, and hasn't really been challenged. However, he will be strongly challenged today, so I don't want him at 2-1. Again, no real knocks, other than that at the short price he doesn't look dominant on the numbers. 5 Areyoutalkintome 30-1 Areyoukiddingme? I wouldn't bet this horse at 300-1. I hope the owners got the seats they must have needed to enter this guy. 6 Bordonaro 3-1 This horse is a very tough call. I think he offers little value. He could very well win, and he is certainly on my P6 tickets. However, I think he is a big underlay here. He set a slow pace on a speed biased track in his last, but still only ran his usual figure of low 110s. However, that is good enough to win here. Still, I think the pace will be a little too hot for him to finish like he does normally, and could be in for a tough day. Very tough call for me. 7 Nightmare Affair 30-1 His lone triple digit figure in his last 10 was a lonely 102. If they run the BC in Florida in the next few years, maybe I'll put him in my superfecta. I guess he could stumble into 3rd or 4th if the race melts down, but that is about it. 8 Pomeroy 8-1 If the BC were at Saratoga, he would be my pick. His four highest figures are all at Saratoga, and even those are a little light for this race. I'll pass and make him beat me. 9 Too Much Bling 10-1 This is a serious sprinter. Two of his last three races beat anything showing in any other horse's lines. The layoff would worry me, but it was by design by Baffert and he has had success in the Sprint before. I also like his ability to lead or stalk, which is what he will probably do, stalk. At 10-1, I think he is worth a shot in here. 10 War Front 12-1 Very consistent horse, but consistently a few lengths too slow. Maybe he can get a dream stalking trip and be in the mix late, but I doubt it and will pass on him. 11 Siren Lure 10-1 Has won his last four dirt races from off the pace, and should certainly have a nice setup today. I tend to think 6f may be a little too short for him. I would be surprised if he isn't a major player late though. 12 Malibu Mint 30-1 I could maybe see this horse sneaking into the superfecta as a bomber, but nothing more. The horse's one big figure was at Calder, a track she absolutely adores. 13 Attila's Storm 30-1 Will try to be a pace factor, but from this post even that is doubtful. The horse is probably a little short of his best, which isn't good enough anyway. 14 Kelly's Landing 20-1 Some people like this horse's closing style and like of the CD strip, but I see two low figures in the last two that will get him demolished. No thanks. RECAP: In a very tough renewal of the Sprint, the only horse I see as value that I really think can win is Too Much Bling. |