Juvenile Fillies

1 Dreaming of Anna 4-1

This filly comes in with a perfect record of 3 for 3, with one dirt and two turf wins. She likes to be near the front, but I am leery of her chances today as the pace will be hotter than anything she has ever seen before. Underlay in my opinion.

2 Sutra 20-1

Holds the dubious distinction of winning probably the weakest Grade 1 race in the history of horse racing. At least she won, but I'll pass.

3 Cash Included 3-1

The ML favorite comes in off a front running score at Oak Tree. The horse does have the top figure in the race, but I'm not a huge fan. The strip that day was very speed biased in my opinion, and she hadn't shown that type ability before. At the expected low odds, I'll pass.

4 Octave 6-1

I have a soft spot for this horse as I scored big on her at Saratoga, but she has done little to impress since that day. Her figures are OK to compete here, but I have a hard time envisioning this horse wanting a second turn.

5 She's Included 15-1

This horse is actually going to wind up being my selection in here. I completely ignore the Polytrack race at Kee, and she looks interesting. Two turns will be right up her alley, and she has tactical speed. A patient ride by Espinoza can get her in the mix.

6 Bel Air Beauty 8-1

I don't like this horse at all. She has run twice, both on polytrack, and is bred heavily for turf. I don't see her transferring that form to the dirt.

7 Cotton Blossom 10-1

It is always tough to dismiss Pletcher/Velasquez in any spot. If you can excuse the weak looking Spinaway, the horse fits here. I'm not convinced she isn't just a sprinter, and will take a pass.

8 Lilly Carson 30-1

After an impressive debut, she completely faltered in the aforementioned pathetic Frizette. It is hard to imagine this horse putting it together around an extra turn. Likely pace pressure, but not much more than that.

9 Adhrhythm 12-1

Enters this race off of three straight wins at Calder. The last two stakes were big money, but restricted to Florida breds. They also looked to slow to consider her seriously here.

10 Her Majesty 10-1

Tough horse to get a feel for here. Two polytrack races, and apparent turf breeding, but Giant's Causeway gets winners on all surfaces. I'd have her on any exotic tickets.

11 Satulagi 20-1

I have no idea what to make of this horse to be honest. The tough post won't help her much. I would still throw her on P3 tickets as an unknown with a chance at a price, but not much more than that.

12 Appealing Zophie 10-1

Numbers look pretty good, but she will be hard used to get position early. As a horse that has recorded higher pace than speed figures every time out, it doesn't look good for her here.

13 Quick Little Miss 30-1

This is actually another bomber I will use here. Her first two races at 4.5f mean little. She followed up with a decent try in a maiden sprint at Dmr, making up some nice ground late against a slow pace and a moderate speed bias. She then backed this up at 20-1 at Fpx, breaking her maiden in a stakes race, again rallying from well off a slow pace to win anyway. Her last, in the Oak Leaf, she had little chance with the big speed bias and her 9 of 11 post draw. However, there she was again, picking off a lot of horses late. I would be hard pressed to leave this horse off my vertical plays (trifectas/superfectas) and will have a few dollars on her to win as well.

14 Gatorize 30-1

This horse just looks too slow, despite winning two of three. The terrible post draw won't help. Hopefully she'll finish before the Juvenile begins.

RECAP:

In a race I don't have a lot of confidence in, I'll try to get the 5 to win, and the 13 to a lesser extent. I won't be spending a lot of money in this race.