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Sprint (A figure of 110 is needed to win)
1. Taste of Paradise : I think the last figure is legitamite, though it was earned with a dream trip behind smoking fractions. He has a shot, but would need a similar scenario. More likely to run 2nd or 3rd than win for sure. 2. Attila's Storm : I'm sure PVal will gun this one hard like he always does and be a factor for about 2f. I don't think it will matter much to LITF since he is outside of him. 3. Silver Train : Will have to come off the pace to win here, something I don't think he has done before. Not really very fast either, I don't think this one has a prayer. 4. Battle Won : He has figures that are only OK, if you ignore his last grass race, which I guess is reasonable. Still, his running style and inferior figures are suspect here. 5. Lion Tamer : Horse doens't appear to be a 6f horse. I'd give him a shot at 7f, maybe, but don't like him here. 6. Wildcat Heir : Top last out figure, but been off ever since. Tough read, he's a fast horse when he shows up. He'll probably be second choice, so I'll pass here. 7. Lost In The Fog : The key to the race obviously. I won't be betting much against this horse. He is very fast and hasn't been tested, especially at 6f. I'll watch as a fan, knowing that if he loses, I most likely wouldn't have come up with the winner anyway. 8. Elusive Jazz : Shows one big race, the last at crazy Kee, so I'll take my chances and ignore it like I always do. 9. Lifestyle : Seems every year some SoCal horse hits the board at a price, so I won't totally dismiss this one. Tough to see in the top slot though. 10. Imperialism : Just looks too slow to me, and the distance is too short. If this horse were able to stay closer at the longer distances I might look harder, but he doesn't, so I won't! 11. Gygistar : Hard to believe this horse is only 6. Weird race to run him, and appears to have lost a few steps. Summary: I'll watch and root for a scintillating performance from Lost In The Fog, and maybe play a few tris with Lifestyle in the underneath slots. |