Mile (Should take around a 110 to win)

1.  Host : I liked the way this horse returned from the long layoff, but it was with the odd Keeneland turf bias that existed for a few weeks, so that lifetime top is probably a bit overrated.

2.  Artie Schiller : Has run two best races last two out, and was unlucky to win last when beaten by a horse that saved every inch of ground.  Contender.

3.  Whipper : This horse looks OK figure wise, but further scrutiny of his record shows all of his successes come in races without a turn.  I'll take a pass.

4.  Sand Springs : Female looks in a bit deep here, but the 10f of the FM Turf is too far.  No thanks.

5.  Ad Valorem:  Appears a cut below G1, just a little too slow.

6.  Funfair : Three for three on the US side of the pond, but probably a bit in deep here.  Only a dream trip allowed the win last time, closing against a fast pace without losing ground.

7.  Majors Cast :  This horse looks the best of the Europeans to me.  I actually like this one more than the 10, and the 10 will take a lot more action at the windows.

8.  Gorella : Took the worst of it and still ran well at Keeneland, but not well enough to compete here.  You have to be a special filly to beat the colts in this race, and this one is good, but nothing special.

9.  Singletary : Another defending champion, and one I don't think can win.  His races this year have been slower, and there is a monster horse to deal with in here.

10.  Valixir : Another Euro that looks formidable, but I think this one will get pounded pretty hard despite the 10-1 ML.  I prefer Majors Cast.

11.  Leroidesanimaux : The Monster!  I hate favorites as much as the next guy,  but 8 wins in a row, the best figures.  Only knocks I can see are the wide post, though that isn't so bad with a one turn mile, and Frankel's poor record in the Breeder's Cup.  I've hit on him three times, Ghostzapper, Squirtle Squirt,  and Starine, so I don't worry about the record so much.

12.  Limehouse :  A cut below, belongs on the dirt.

Summary:  The King of the Animals will be ultra tough here.  I'll be using him over and under Artie Schiller and Majors Cast.