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Juvenile Fillies (I suspect about a 90 will be required
to win this race)
1. Folklore : 3 for 6 lifetime, exploded last time out from low 80s type figures to a 98. Top figure in the race, but a few things I don't like. One is the shape of the horse's figures. She earned the 98 with a 102-95 shape, not ideal for stretching out another 1 1/2 furlongs. Certainly a contender, but probably overbet. 2. Original Spin : 2 for 2, decent figures, and has won at one mile. Picks up a red hot Jerry Bailey, and can come from a little off the pace. 3. Along the Sea : This horse is just too slow with only a maiden win to her credit. 4. Diamond Omi : Surprised in the Oak Leaf, beating the highly touted Wild Fit. Still, the race only earned an 84, nothing to get excited about. 5. Knights Templar : I loved this horse last time at WO, and she certainly did nothing wrong that day crushing the field. She has the top figure in the field at one mile or longer, and I don't think she needs the lead either. I like this girl in this spot. 6. Adieu : It isn't too often you can just routinely dismiss the 3-1 second choice in a G1 race, but she looks pretty slow. She could improve, but at the expected short price, I won't be betting on it. 7. Sensation : Comes in as the top figure horse, but this horse just doesn't look like she is ready to route to me. Her figures are in the wrong direction, and she bounced woefully off a big effort before. 8. She Says It Best : Very steady horse that didn't mind the adding of a second turn at Keeneland. A live longshot. 9. Ex Caelis : Beaten favorite last out by the above horse, nothing that makes me think she could turn the tables today. She was slower going into the last, and certainly slower coming out. 10. Wild Fit : Wildly overrated horse, I've never understood all the hype surrounding this one early. I'm a numbers guy, and her numbers aren't anything special. Summary: Folklore will be a big underlay off the last race, but I'll lean towards Knights Templar as my top pick, and use She Says It Best in exotics. |